Ku ya 24 Gashyantare ku isaha ya Beijing, Perezida w’Uburusiya Vladimir Putin yatangaje ku mugaragaro ko azakorera “ibikorwa bya gisirikare” i Donbas, muri Ukraine.Nyuma yaho, Perezida wa Ukraine, Vladimir Zelensky yatangaje ko iki gihugu cyinjiye mu ntambara.
Kugeza igihe cyo gutangaza amakuru, igiciro cya zahabu cyari gihagaze $ 1940, ariko bitcoin yagabanutse hafi 9% mu masaha 24, ubu bivugwa ko ari $ 34891, Nasdaq 100 indangagaciro zerekana ko yagabanutse hafi 3%, hamwe n’igihe kizaza cya S & P 500 hamwe n’igihe kizaza cya Dow Jones yagabanutse hejuru ya 2%.
Ubwiyongere bukabije bw’amakimbirane ya politiki, amasoko y’imari ku isi yatangiye kwitabira.Ibiciro bya zahabu byazamutse, ububiko bw’Amerika bwasubiye inyuma, kandi bitcoin, ifatwa nk '“zahabu ya digitale”, yananiwe kuva mu nzira yigenga.
Dukurikije imibare y’umuyaga, kuva mu ntangiriro za 2022, bitcoin yashyize ku mwanya wa nyuma mu mikorere y’umutungo ukomeye ku isi ku kigero cya 21,98%.Muri 2021, ikaba yarangiye, bitcoin yashyizwe ku mwanya wa mbere mu byiciro bikomeye by’umutungo hamwe n’izamuka rikabije rya 57.8%.
Itandukaniro rinini cyane ritera gutekereza, kandi iyi mpapuro izasesengura ikibazo cyibanze uhereye ku bice bitatu byerekana ibintu, umwanzuro n'impamvu: bitcoin ishobora kuba ifite agaciro k'isoko rya miliyari 700 z'amadolari y'Amerika irashobora gufatwa nk '“umutungo utekanye”?
Kuva mu gice cya kabiri cya 2021, isoko ry’imari ku isi ryibanze ku gitekerezo cyo kuzamura inyungu za Federasiyo.Ubu gukaza umurego mu makimbirane hagati y’Uburusiya na Ukraine byahindutse indi ngurube yirabura, bigira ingaruka ku miterere y’imitungo yose y’isi.
Iya mbere ni zahabu.Kuva amakimbirane yabaye hagati y’Uburusiya na Ukraine ku ya 11 Gashyantare, zahabu yabaye icyiciro cy’umutungo utangaje cyane mu gihe cya vuba.Gufungura isoko rya Aziya ku ya 21 Gashyantare, zahabu yabonetse yasimbutse mu gihe gito maze icamo amadorari 1900 nyuma y’amezi umunani.Umwaka kugeza ubu, umusaruro wa zahabu wa Comex wageze kuri 4.39%.
Kugeza ubu, COMEX yatanzwe muri zahabu imaze ibyumweru bitatu bikurikiranye.Ibigo byinshi byubushakashatsi bwishoramari bizera ko impamvu yabyo iterwa ahanini no gutegereza ko inyungu ziyongera ndetse n’ibisubizo by’impinduka zishingiye ku bukungu.Muri icyo gihe, hamwe n’ubwiyongere bukabije bw’ingaruka za geopolitike, ikiranga “ingaruka zo kwirinda ingaruka” zahabu iragaragara.Muri ibi biteganijwe, Goldman Sachs iteganya ko mu mpera za 2022, ubutunzi bwa zahabu ETF buziyongera bugera kuri toni 300 ku mwaka.Hagati aho, Goldman Sachs yemera ko igiciro cya zahabu kizaba $ 2150 / ounce mu mezi 12.
Reka turebe NASDAQ.Nka kimwe mu bipimo bitatu byingenzi byimigabane yo muri Amerika, birimo kandi ububiko bwikoranabuhanga bukomeye.Imikorere yayo muri 2022 irababaje.
Ku ya 22 Ugushyingo 2021, indangagaciro ya NASDAQ yafunze hejuru ya 16000 ku nshuro ya mbere mu mateka yayo, ishyiraho amateka menshi.Kuva icyo gihe, indangagaciro ya NASDAQ yatangiye gusubira inyuma cyane.Kugeza ku ya 23 Gashyantare, igipimo cya NASDAQ cyaragabanutseho 2.57% kigera ku manota 13037.49, kikaba ari gitoya kuva muri Gicurasi umwaka ushize.Ugereranije nurwego rwashyizweho mu Gushyingo, rwagabanutseho hafi 18,75%.
Hanyuma, reka turebe bitcoin.Kugeza ubu, amagambo yanyuma ya bitcoin ari hafi $ 37000.Kuva amateka y’amadolari ya Amerika 69000 yashyizweho ku ya 10 Ugushyingo 2021, bitcoin yasubiye inyuma hejuru ya 45%.Mugihe cyo kugabanuka gukabije ku ya 24 Mutarama 2022, bitcoin yagabanutseho amadorari 32914, hanyuma ifungura ubucuruzi ku mpande.
Kuva mu mwaka mushya, bitcoin yagaruye muri make amadorari 40000 ku ya 16 Gashyantare, ariko hamwe n’amakimbirane akomeje kuba hagati y’Uburusiya na Ukraine, bitcoin imaze ibyumweru bitatu bikurikirana.Umwaka kugeza ubu, ibiciro bya bitcoin byagabanutseho 21,98%.
Kuva yavuka mu 2008 mu kibazo cy’amafaranga, bitoin yagiye yitwa "zahabu ya digitale" kuko nayo ifite ibiranga bimwe.Ubwa mbere, amafaranga yose arahoraho.Bitcoin ikoresha tekinoroji ya blocain hamwe na encryption algorithm kugirango igiteranyo cyayo cyose kigere kuri miliyoni 21.Niba ubuke bwa zahabu buturuka muri fiziki, ubuke bwa bitcoin buturuka ku mibare.
Mugihe kimwe, ugereranije na zahabu yumubiri, bitcoin biroroshye kubika no gutwara (mubyukuri umurongo wimibare), ndetse bifatwa nkaho iruta zahabu mubice bimwe.Nkuko zahabu yagiye ihinduka ikimenyetso cyubutunzi kuva mubyuma byagaciro kuva yinjira mumuryango wabantu, igiciro cyizamuka rya bitcoin kijyanye no gushaka ubutunzi, abantu benshi rero babyita "zahabu ya digitale".
“Ibihe bya kera byateye imbere, ibihe bya zahabu.”Ubu ni bwo Abashinwa bumva ibimenyetso byubutunzi mubyiciro bitandukanye.Mu gice cya mbere cya 2019, cyahuriranye n’intangiriro y’intambara y’ubucuruzi yo muri Amerika.Bitcoin yavuye mu isoko ry'idubu maze izamuka kuva ku $ 3000 igera ku $ 10000.Imigendekere yisoko muri uku guhangana kw’akarere kurushaho gukwirakwiza izina rya bitcoin “zahabu ya digitale”.
Nyamara, mu myaka yashize, nubwo igiciro cya bitcoin cyazamutse mu ihindagurika rikabije, kandi agaciro kayo ku isoko karenze tiriyari imwe y’amadolari y’Amerika mu 2021, kigera ku kimwe cya cumi cy’agaciro k’isoko rya zahabu (imibare yerekana ko agaciro k’isoko rya zahabu yacukuwe; muri 2021 ni hafi miliyoni 10 US $), ihuriro riri hagati yimikorere yaryo nigikorwa cya zahabu ryagiye rigabanuka, kandi hari ibimenyetso bigaragara byo gukurura ifuni.
Dukurikije imbonerahamwe y’amakuru y’ibiceri, icyerekezo cya bitcoin na zahabu byagize uruhare runini mu gice cya mbere cy’umwaka wa 2020, kandi ihuriro ryageze kuri 0.56, ariko mu 2022, isano iri hagati y’ibiceri n’ibiciro bya zahabu byahindutse bibi.
Ibinyuranye, ihuriro riri hagati ya bitcoin na indangagaciro yimigabane yo muri Amerika riragenda ryiyongera.
Dukurikije imbonerahamwe yamakuru y’ibiceri, ko ihuriro rifitanye isano na bitcoin na S & P 500, kimwe mu bipimo bitatu byingenzi by’imigabane yo muri Amerika, ryageze kuri 0.49, hafi y’agaciro gakabije kari 0.54.Agaciro kari hejuru, niko gukomera hagati ya bitcoin na S & P 500. Ibi bihuye namakuru ya Bloomberg.Mu ntangiriro za Gashyantare 2022, amakuru ya Bloomberg yerekanaga ko isano iri hagati yo gukoresha amafaranga na Nasdaq yageze kuri 0.73.
Urebye uko isoko ryifashe, isano iri hagati ya bitcoin n’imigabane yo muri Amerika nayo iriyongera.Kuzamuka no kugabanuka kwa bitcoin na tekinoroji inshuro nyinshi mu mezi atatu ashize, ndetse no kuva isenyuka ry’imigabane yo muri Amerika muri Werurwe 2020 kugeza igabanuka ry’imigabane yo muri Amerika muri Mutarama 2022, isoko ry’ibanga ntiriva mu isoko ryigenga, ariko yerekana inzira yo kuzamuka no kugwa hamwe nububiko bwikoranabuhanga.
Kugeza ubu mu 2022, ni byo biza ku isonga mu byegeranyo by’ikoranabuhanga “faamng” biri hafi yo kugabanuka kwa bitcoin.Ikusanyirizo ry'ibihangange bitandatu by'ikoranabuhanga by'Abanyamerika ryaragabanutseho 15,63% umwaka ushize kugeza ubu, biza ku mwanya wa nyuma mu mikorere y'umutungo ukomeye ku isi.
Ufatanije n’umwotsi w’intambara, nyuma y’intambara yo mu Burusiya yo mu Burusiya itangiye ku gicamunsi cyo ku ya 24, umutungo w’ibyago ku isi wagabanutse hamwe, ububiko bw’Amerika hamwe n’ibikoresho by’amafaranga ntibyacitse, mu gihe igiciro cya zahabu na peteroli cyatangiye kuzamuka, kandi isoko ryimari kwisi yose ryiganjemo "umwotsi wintambara".
Kubwibyo, ukurikije uko isoko ryifashe ubu, bitcoin irasa nkumutungo ushobora guteza akaga kuruta “umutungo utekanye”.
Bitcoin yinjiye muri sisitemu yimari nyamukuru
Iyo bitcoin yateguwe na Nakamoto, imyanya yayo yahindutse inshuro nyinshi.Mu mwaka wa 2008, umugabo w'amayobera witwa “Nakamoto cong” yasohoye impapuro mu izina rya bitcoin, ashyiraho uburyo bwo kwishyura hakoreshejwe uburyo bwa elegitoronike.Uhereye ku mazina, birashobora kugaragara ko umwanya wambere wari ifaranga rya digitale hamwe numurimo wo kwishyura.Icyakora, guhera mu 2022, El Salvador yonyine, igihugu gito cyo muri Amerika yo Hagati, ni yo yakoze ku mugaragaro igikorwa cyo kwishyura.
Usibye imikorere yo kwishyura, imwe mumpamvu nyamukuru zatumye Nakamoto arema ibiceri ni ukugerageza gukosora uko ibintu bimeze muri iki gihe cyo gucapa amafaranga atagira imipaka muri sisitemu y’ifaranga rigezweho, bityo yaremye bitoin hamwe n’amafaranga ahoraho, ari nako biganisha ku yindi umwanya wa bitcoin nka "umutungo wo kurwanya ifaranga".
Ingaruka z’icyorezo cy’isi yose mu 2020, Banki nkuru y’igihugu yahisemo gutabara isoko mu bihe byihutirwa, itangira “QE itagira imipaka” kandi itanga andi miliyoni 4 y’amadolari ku mwaka.Amafaranga manini y'Abanyamerika afite ubwinshi bwimikorere yashowe mububiko na bitcoin.Amafaranga yose akomeye, harimo amasosiyete yikoranabuhanga, ibigo by’imari shoramari, amafaranga yo gukingira, amabanki yigenga ndetse n’ibiro by’umuryango, yahisemo “gutora ibirenge”, Mu isoko ry’ibanga.
Igisubizo cyibi nukuzamuka kwabasazi kubiciro bya bitcoin.Muri Gashyantare 2021, Tesla yaguze bitcoin kuri miliyari 1.5 z'amadolari.Igiciro cya bitcoin cyazamutseho amadolari arenga 10000 kumunsi kandi kigera ku giciro cyo hejuru cy’amadolari 65000 mu 2021. Kugeza ubu, wechat, isosiyete ikora ku rutonde rw’Amerika, imaze kwegeranya ibiceri birenga 100000 hamwe n’imyenda y’imyenda irenga 640000.
Mu yandi magambo, ifi ya bitcoin, iyobowe n’umurwa mukuru munini wa Wall Street muri Amerika, yahindutse imbaraga z’ibanze ziyobora isoko, bityo rero igishoro kinini cyahindutse umuyaga w’isoko ry’ibanga.
Muri Mata 2021, coinbase, ihererekanyabubasha rinini muri Amerika, yashyizwe ku rutonde, kandi amafaranga menshi afite uburenganzira bwo kubahiriza.Ku ya 18 Ukwakira, SEC izemeza ProShares yo gutangiza ibizaza bitoin ETF.Kumenyekanisha abashoramari bo muri Amerika kuri bitcoin bizongera kwagurwa kandi ibikoresho bizaba byiza kurushaho.
Muri icyo gihe, Kongere y’Amerika nayo yatangiye gukora ibiganiro ku bijyanye no gukoresha amafaranga, kandi ubushakashatsi ku miterere yabwo n’ingamba zo kugenzura bwarushijeho kwiyongera, kandi bitcoin yatakaje ibanga ryayo rya mbere.
Buhoro buhoro Bitcoin yagiye yinjizwa muyindi mitungo ishobora guhinduka aho gusimbuza zahabu mugihe cyo gukomeza guhangayikishwa n’amafaranga menshi kandi yemerwa n’isoko rusange.
Kubera iyo mpamvu, kuva mu mpera za 2021, Banki nkuru y’igihugu yihutishije umuvuduko wo kuzamura igipimo cy’inyungu kandi ishaka guhagarika inzira yo “kurekura amazi menshi mu madorari y’Amerika”.Umusaruro w’inguzanyo z’Amerika wiyongereye vuba, ariko imigabane yo muri Amerika na bitcoin byinjiye ku isoko ry’ubuhanga.
Mu gusoza, uko ibintu byifashe mu ntambara yo mu Burusiya yo mu Burusiya byerekana umutungo uriho muri iki gihe.Uhereye ku myanya ihindagurika ya bitcoin mu myaka yashize, bitcoin ntizongera kumenyekana nk "umutungo utekanye" cyangwa "zahabu ya digitale".
Igihe cyo kohereza: Werurwe-14-2022